Neotibicen canicularis
In 3 days ~20% in a week ~40%
Neotibicen canicularis, commonly called the dog-day cicada, dog-day harvestfly, or heatbug, is a species of annual cicada. Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Acadia National Park | 🇺🇸 United States |
More parks will be added in future updates.
| # | City | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Montreal | 🇨🇦 Canada | |
| 2 | Toronto | 🇨🇦 Canada | |
| 3 | Minneapolis [Saint Paul] | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 4 | Detroit | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 5 | Boston | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 6 | Chicago | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 7 | New York City | 🇺🇸 United States |
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Northern Dog-Day Cicada sighting in Minneapolis [Saint Paul] on a given day, based on 110 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 85th most-seen of the 672 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 20%, and over a week to about 40%, if each day is a fresh chance.
August
In that month about 20% of wildlife watchers report a Northern Dog-Day Cicada in Minneapolis [Saint Paul] on a given day, against under 5% in October to June, the lowest months. That is one of Minneapolis [Saint Paul]'s wettest months, with about 110 mm of rain against 20 mm in January.
Between 9 am and noon
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Northern Dog-Day Cicada sightings with a recorded time, and about 9 in 10 of them come between 6 am and 6 pm: it is a daytime animal.
Among the best
Of the 7 cities where we can rate Northern Dog-Day Cicada sightings, Minneapolis [Saint Paul] ranks 3rd at about 10%, level with the leaders once rounded. The best odds are in Montreal (Canada, about 10%) and Toronto (Canada, about 10%).
Same order: Hemiptera
The closest relatives of the Northern Dog-Day Cicada that you can see in Minneapolis [Saint Paul] (order Hemiptera, True Bugs, Hoppers, Aphids, and allies) are Eastern Boxelder Bug (about 20%), Brown Marmorated Stink Bug (about 20%) and Four-Lined Plant Bug (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Northern Dog-Day Cicada is recorded against all the insects logged in Minneapolis [Saint Paul] (110 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
