Melipotis cellaris
In 3 days ~10% in a week ~30%
Melipotis cellaris, the cellar melipotis moth, is a species of moth in the family Erebidae. It is found in Mexico (Morelos), Colombia, Venezuela, Paraguay, Argentina, Uruguay, the West Indies and the southern United States, where it has been recorded from Florida, Kansas, Louisiana, New Mexico and Texas.
The wingspan is 35-37 mm. Adults are on wing year round in Texas. Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cumbres de Monterrey National Park | 🇲🇽 Mexico |
More parks will be added in future updates.
| # | City | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Austin | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 2 | Cordoba | 🇦🇷 Argentina | |
| 3 | San Antonio | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 4 | Monterrey | 🇲🇽 México | |
| 5 | Houston | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 6 | Dallas | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 7 | Buenos Aires | 🇦🇷 Argentina |
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Cellar Graphic sighting in Monterrey on a given day, based on 20 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 157th most-seen of the 413 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 30%, if each day is a fresh chance.
May to October
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Cellar Graphic in Monterrey on a given day, against under 5% in November to April, the lowest months. Those are among Monterrey's wettest months, with about 90 mm of rain a month against 20 mm in February.
Between 9 am and noon
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Cellar Graphic sightings with a recorded time, and about 6 in 10 of them come between 6 pm and 6 am: it is seen both by day and at night.
Among the best
Of the 7 cities where we can rate Cellar Graphic sightings, Monterrey ranks 4th at about 10%, level with the leaders once rounded. The best odds are in Austin (United States, about 10%), Cordoba (Argentina, about 10%) and San Antonio (United States, about 10%).
Same genus: Melipotis
The closest relatives of the Cellar Graphic that you can see in Monterrey (genus Melipotis) are Indomitable Graphic Moth (about 10%) and Royal Poinciana Graphic (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Cellar Graphic is recorded against all the insects logged in Monterrey (20 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
