What are the chances of seeing an Elm Spanworm Moth in Montreal?
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report an Elm Spanworm Moth sighting in Montreal on a given day, based on 16 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 431st most-seen of the 926 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 20%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see an Elm Spanworm Moth in Montreal?
July
In that month about 10% of wildlife watchers report an Elm Spanworm Moth in Montreal on a given day, against under 5% in August to June, the lowest months.
Is Montreal the best place to see an Elm Spanworm Moth?
Among the best
Of the 8 cities where we can rate Elm Spanworm Moth sightings, Montreal ranks 5th at under 5%, level with the leaders once rounded. The best odds are in Minneapolis [Saint Paul] (United States, under 5%), Toronto (Canada, under 5%) and Chicago (United States, under 5%).
Where does the Elm Spanworm Moth sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Elm Spanworm Moth is recorded against all the insects logged in Montreal (16 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.