Acanthacris ruficornis
In 3 days ~30% in a week ~50%
Acanthacris ruficornis is a species of bird grasshopper in the family Acrididae. It is found in Africa and southern Europe. Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Garden Route National Park | 🇿🇦 South Africa | |
| 2 | De Hoop Nature Reserve | 🇿🇦 South Africa | |
| 3 | Bwindi Impenetrable National Park | 🇺🇬 Uganda | |
| 4 | Nairobi National Park | 🇰🇪 Kenya | |
| 5 | Table Mountain National Park | 🇿🇦 South Africa | |
| 6 | Addo Elephant National Park | 🇿🇦 South Africa |
| # | City | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lusaka | 🇿🇲 Zambia | |
| 2 | Casablanca | 🇲🇦 Morocco | |
| 3 | Kigali | 🇷🇼 Rwanda | |
| 4 | Pretoria | 🇿🇦 South Africa | |
| 5 | Harare | 🇿🇼 Zimbabwe | |
| 6 | Johannesburg | 🇿🇦 South Africa | |
| 7 | Marrakesh | 🇲🇦 Morocco | |
| 8 | Cape Town | 🇿🇦 South Africa | |
| 9 | Nairobi | 🇰🇪 Kenya | |
| 10 | Durban | 🇿🇦 South Africa |
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Garden Locust sighting in Nairobi on a given day, based on 8 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 69th most-seen of the 123 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 30%, and over a week to about 50%, if each day is a fresh chance.
March, July and November
In those months about 20% of wildlife watchers report a Garden Locust in Nairobi on a given day, against under 5% in January–February, April–June and October, the lowest months.
Between noon and 3 pm
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Garden Locust sightings with a recorded time, and about 9 in 10 of them come between 6 am and 6 pm: it is a daytime animal.
9th of 10
Of the 10 cities where we can rate Garden Locust sightings, Nairobi ranks 9th at about 10%. The best odds are in Lusaka (Zambia, about 30%), Casablanca (Morocco, about 30%) and Kigali (Rwanda, about 20%).
Same family: Acrididae
The closest relatives of the Garden Locust that you can see in Nairobi (family Acrididae, Short-horned Grasshoppers) are Notched Shield Grasshopper (about 20%), Brown‐spotted Locust (about 20%) and Gymnobothrus flexuosus (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Garden Locust is recorded against all the insects logged in Nairobi (8 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
