Hypolimnas dubius
In 3 days ~20% in a week ~40%
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Odzala-Kokoua National Park | 🇨🇬 Republic of the Congo | |
| 2 | Bwindi Impenetrable National Park | 🇺🇬 Uganda | |
| 3 | iSimangaliso Wetland Park | 🇿🇦 South Africa |
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Variable Diadem sighting in Nairobi on a given day, based on 5 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 99th most-seen of the 123 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 20%, and over a week to about 40%, if each day is a fresh chance.
February and September
In those months about 20% of wildlife watchers report a Variable Diadem in Nairobi on a given day, against under 5% in April–May, July–August and October–January, the lowest months. Those are among Nairobi's driest months, with about 30 mm of rain a month against 150 mm in April.
Between 10 am and 1 pm
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Variable Diadem sightings with a recorded time, and about 9 in 10 of them come between 6 am and 6 pm: it is a daytime animal.
5th of 5
Of the 5 cities where we can rate Variable Diadem sightings, Nairobi ranks 5th at about 10%. The best odds are in Accra (Ghana, about 40%), Abidjan (Côte d'Ivoire, about 30%) and Durban (South Africa, about 10%).
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Variable Diadem is recorded against all the insects logged in Nairobi (5 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
