Orthosia cruda
In 3 days ~20% in a week ~30%
Orthosia cruda, the small Quaker, is a moth of the family Noctuidae. It is found in Europe, Morocco, Algeria, Tunisia, Turkey, the Caucasus, Transcaucasia, Kazakhstan, Israel, Lebanon, Cyprus and Jordan. Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Snowdonia National Park | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 2 | Sierra de Guadarrama National Park | 🇪🇸 Spain | |
| 3 | Bavarian Forest National Park | 🇩🇪 Germany | |
| 4 | Cévennes National Park | 🇫🇷 France | |
| 5 | Wadden Sea National Park | 🇩🇪 Germany |
| # | City | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Liverpool | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 2 | London | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 3 | Prague | 🇨🇿 Czechia | |
| 4 | Paris | 🇫🇷 France | |
| 5 | Vienna | 🇦🇹 Austria | |
| 6 | Essen | 🇩🇪 Germany | |
| 7 | Birmingham | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 8 | Manchester | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 9 | Hamburg | 🇩🇪 Germany | |
| 10 | Nizhny Novgorod | 🇷🇺 Russia |
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Small Quaker sighting in Paris on a given day, based on 38 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 243rd most-seen of the 916 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 20%, and over a week to about 30%, if each day is a fresh chance.
March to May
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Small Quaker in Paris on a given day, against under 5% in June to February, the lowest months.
Between 8 and 11 am
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Small Quaker sightings with a recorded time, and about 6 in 10 of them come between 6 am and 6 pm: it is seen both by day and at night.
Among the best
Of the 12 cities where we can rate Small Quaker sightings, Paris ranks 4th at about 10%, level with the leaders once rounded. The best odds are in Liverpool (United Kingdom, about 10%), London (United Kingdom, about 10%) and Prague (Czechia, about 10%).
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Small Quaker is recorded against all the insects logged in Paris (38 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
