Cerma cerintha
In 3 days ~10% in a week ~20%
Cerma cerintha, the tufted bird dropping moth, is an owlet moth of the family Noctuidae. The species was first described by Georg Friedrich Treitschke in 1826. The MONA or Hodges number for Cerma cerintha is 9062. Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Great Smoky Mountains National Park | 🇺🇸 United States |
More parks will be added in future updates.
| # | City | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boston | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 2 | Toronto | 🇨🇦 Canada | |
| 3 | Philadelphia | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 4 | Washington | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 5 | Chicago | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 6 | New York City | 🇺🇸 United States |
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Tufted Bird-Dropping Moth sighting in Toronto on a given day, based on 28 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 542nd most-seen of the 1689 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 20%, if each day is a fresh chance.
Any time of year
In every month with enough records, under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Tufted Bird-Dropping Moth in Toronto on a given day, so our monthly data shows no clear season.
Between midnight and 3 am
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Tufted Bird-Dropping Moth sightings with a recorded time, and about 8 in 10 of them come between 6 pm and 6 am: it is mostly seen at night.
Among the best
Of the 6 cities where we can rate Tufted Bird-Dropping Moth sightings, Toronto ranks 2nd at under 5%, level with the leaders once rounded. The best odds are in Boston (United States, under 5%).
Same family: Noctuidae
The closest relatives of the Tufted Bird-Dropping Moth that you can see in Toronto (family Noctuidae, Cutworm Moths and Allies) are American Dagger (about 10%), Large Yellow Underwing (about 10%) and Armyworm Moth (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Tufted Bird-Dropping Moth is recorded against all the insects logged in Toronto (28 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
