Spodoptera exigua
In 3 days ~20% in a week ~50%
The beet armyworm or small mottled willow moth (Spodoptera exigua) is one of the best-known agricultural pest insects. It is also known as the asparagus fern caterpillar. It is native to Asia, but has been introduced worldwide and is now found almost anywhere its many host crops are grown. The voracious larvae are the main culprits. In the British Isles, where it is an introduced species and not known to breed, the adult moth is known as the small mottled willow moth.
Thought to have originated in south-east Asian countries, it was first discovered in North America about 1876, when it was found in Oregon, and it reached Florida in 1924. The adult is a drab brown or grey moth with a wingspan of 26–32 millimetres (1–1+1⁄4 in). Forewing is greyish ochreous in color, washed with dull yellow and sprinkled with black scales. Inner and outer lines are double, indistinct, filled in with pale yellowish color. A dark waved median shade visible before lower half of outer line. Cell is dark brown. Orbicular stigma is pale or bright yellow, and round, whereas reniform has a curved brown lunule in centre. The submarginal line is pale grey. There is the darker shade... Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Death Valley National Park | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 2 | Sierra Nevada National Park | 🇪🇸 Spain | |
| 3 | Doñana National Park | 🇪🇸 Spain | |
| 4 | Joshua Tree National Park | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 5 | Pyrénées National Park | 🇫🇷 France |
| # | City | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Porto | 🇵🇹 Portugal | |
| 2 | Valencia | 🇪🇸 Spain | |
| 3 | Madrid | 🇪🇸 Spain | |
| 4 | London | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 5 | Liverpool | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 6 | Barcelona | 🇪🇸 Spain | |
| 7 | Austin | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 8 | Birmingham | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 9 | San Diego | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 10 | Lisbon | 🇵🇹 Portugal |
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Beet Armyworm Moth sighting in Valencia, Spain on a given day, based on 11 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 74th most-seen of the 147 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 20%, and over a week to about 50%, if each day is a fresh chance.
September and October
In those months about 20% of wildlife watchers report a Beet Armyworm Moth in Valencia, Spain on a given day, against under 5% in January–February and April–August, the lowest months. Those are among Valencia, Spain's wettest months, with about 45 mm of rain a month against 10 mm in July.
Between 8 and 11 pm
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Beet Armyworm Moth sightings with a recorded time, and about 6 in 10 of them come between 6 pm and 6 am: it is seen both by day and at night.
Among the best
Of the 15 cities where we can rate Beet Armyworm Moth sightings, Valencia, Spain ranks 2nd at about 10%, level with the leaders once rounded. The best odds are in Porto (Portugal, about 10%).
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Beet Armyworm Moth is recorded against all the insects logged in Valencia, Spain (11 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
