Catocala elocata
In 3 days ~20% in a week ~30%
Catocala elocata, the French red underwing, is a moth of the family Erebidae. It is found in Central Europe, Southern Europe, North Africa, Anatolia, Uzbekistan, and Kazakhstan. The larvae feed on poplar and willow. Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cévennes National Park | 🇫🇷 France | |
| 2 | Sierra de Guadarrama National Park | 🇪🇸 Spain | |
| 3 | Pyrénées National Park | 🇫🇷 France |
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a French Red Underwing sighting in Warsaw on a given day, based on 14 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 247th most-seen of the 580 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 20%, and over a week to about 30%, if each day is a fresh chance.
August
In that month about 20% of wildlife watchers report a French Red Underwing in Warsaw on a given day, against under 5% in October to July, the lowest months.
Between noon and 3 pm
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most French Red Underwing sightings with a recorded time, and about 6 in 10 of them come between 6 am and 6 pm: it is seen both by day and at night.
Among the best
Of the 9 cities where we can rate French Red Underwing sightings, Warsaw ranks 3rd at about 10%, level with the leaders once rounded. The best odds are in Berlin (Germany, about 10%) and Prague (Czechia, about 10%).
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the French Red Underwing is recorded against all the insects logged in Warsaw (14 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
