Silhouette: Andy Wilson · PhyloPic
Argyria nivalis
In 3 days ~10% in a week ~30%
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shenandoah National Park | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 2 | Acadia National Park | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 3 | Everglades National Park | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 4 | Great Smoky Mountains National Park | 🇺🇸 United States |
| # | City | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Austin | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 2 | Baltimore | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 3 | Dallas | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 4 | Washington | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 5 | Houston | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 6 | Chicago | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 7 | Toronto | 🇨🇦 Canada | |
| 8 | Philadelphia | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 9 | Boston | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 10 | Montreal | 🇨🇦 Canada |
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report an Argyria nivalis sighting in Great Smoky Mountains National Park on a given day, based on 7 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data from 2019 to 2026. It is the 513th most-seen of the 822 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 30%, if each day is a fresh chance.
July to September
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report an Argyria nivalis in Great Smoky Mountains National Park on a given day, against under 5% in October to June, the lowest months.
Between 9 pm and midnight
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Argyria nivalis sightings with a recorded time, and about 6 in 10 of them come between 6 pm and 6 am: it is seen both by day and at night.
4th of 4
Of the 4 parks where we can rate Argyria nivalis sightings, Great Smoky Mountains National Park ranks 4th at under 5%. The best odds are in Shenandoah National Park (United States, about 10%), Acadia National Park (United States, about 10%) and Everglades National Park (United States, under 5%).
Same family: Crambidae
The closest relatives of the Argyria nivalis that you can see in Great Smoky Mountains National Park (family Crambidae, Crambid Snout Moths) are Basswood Leafroller Moth (about 10%), Hollow-Spotted Blepharomastix Moth (about 10%) and Elegant Grass-Veneer (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Argyria nivalis is recorded against all the insects logged in Great Smoky Mountains National Park (7 verified sightings from 2019 to 2026), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
