Nepheronia buquetii
In 3 days ~20% in a week ~50%
Nepheronia buquetii, the plain vagrant, Buquet's vagrant, or green-eyed monster, is a butterfly of the family Pieridae. It is found throughout Africa. The wingspan is 45–50 mm for males and 48–56 mm for females. Adults are on the wing year-round, more commonly in winter months.
The larvae feed on Azima tetracantha and Salvadora persica. Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | uMkhuze Game Reserve | 🇿🇦 South Africa | |
| 2 | Addo Elephant National Park | 🇿🇦 South Africa | |
| 3 | Namib-Naukluft National Park | 🇳🇦 Namibia | |
| 4 | iSimangaliso Wetland Park | 🇿🇦 South Africa | |
| 5 | Kruger National Park | 🇿🇦 South Africa |
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Plain Vagrant sighting in Namib-Naukluft National Park on a given day, based on 8 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data from 2019 to 2026. It is the 39th most-seen of the 60 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 20%, and over a week to about 50%, if each day is a fresh chance.
October
In that month about 20% of wildlife watchers report a Plain Vagrant in Namib-Naukluft National Park on a given day, against under 5% in February, May–June, August–September and December, the lowest months.
Between 9 am and noon
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Plain Vagrant sightings with a recorded time, and about 9 in 10 of them come between 6 am and 6 pm: it is a daytime animal.
3rd of 5
Of the 5 parks where we can rate Plain Vagrant sightings, Namib-Naukluft National Park ranks 3rd at about 10%. The best odds are in uMkhuze Game Reserve (South Africa, about 30%) and Addo Elephant National Park (South Africa, about 10%).
Same family: Pieridae
The closest relatives of the Plain Vagrant that you can see in Namib-Naukluft National Park (family Pieridae, Whites, Yellows, and Sulphurs) are Pioneer White (about 20%), Small Salmon Arab (about 10%) and African Migrant (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Plain Vagrant is recorded against all the insects logged in Namib-Naukluft National Park (8 verified sightings from 2019 to 2026), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
