Acronicta megacephala
In 3 days ~10% in a week ~20%
The poplar grey (Acronicta megacephala) is a moth of the family Noctuidae. It is found throughout Europe. Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bavarian Forest National Park | 🇩🇪 Germany | |
| 2 | Wadden Sea National Park | 🇩🇪 Germany | |
| 3 | Pyrénées National Park | 🇫🇷 France |
| # | City | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Liverpool | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 2 | Budapest | 🇭🇺 Hungary | |
| 3 | Kyiv | 🇺🇦 Ukraine | |
| 4 | Manchester | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 5 | Nizhny Novgorod | 🇷🇺 Russia | |
| 6 | Helsinki | 🇫🇮 Finland | |
| 7 | Birmingham | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 8 | Berlin | 🇩🇪 Germany | |
| 9 | Porto | 🇵🇹 Portugal | |
| 10 | Moscow | 🇷🇺 Russia |
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Poplar Grey sighting in Pyrénées National Park on a given day, based on 7 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data from 2019 to 2026. It is the 940th most-seen of the 1277 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 20%, if each day is a fresh chance.
April and June
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Poplar Grey in Pyrénées National Park on a given day, against under 5% in May and July–March, the lowest months.
Between 11 pm and 2 am
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Poplar Grey sightings with a recorded time, and about 6 in 10 of them come between 6 pm and 6 am: it is seen both by day and at night.
3rd of 3
Of the 3 parks where we can rate Poplar Grey sightings, Pyrénées National Park ranks 3rd at under 5%. The best odds are in Bavarian Forest National Park (Germany, about 10%) and Wadden Sea National Park (Germany, about 10%).
Same genus: Acronicta
The closest relatives of the Poplar Grey that you can see in Pyrénées National Park (genus Acronicta, Dagger Moths) are Knot Grass Moth (about 10%) and Sweet Gale Moth (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Poplar Grey is recorded against all the insects logged in Pyrénées National Park (7 verified sightings from 2019 to 2026), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
