What are the chances of seeing a Black-backed Monarch in Raja Ampat?
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Black-backed Monarch sighting in Raja Ampat on a given day, based on 67 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data from 2019 to 2026. It is the 120th most-seen of the 200 birds we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 20%, and over a week to about 30%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see a Black-backed Monarch in Raja Ampat?
October and November
In those months about 20% of wildlife watchers report a Black-backed Monarch in Raja Ampat on a given day, against under 5% in April–September and December–February, the lowest months.
Where else can you see a Black-backed Monarch?
Only Raja Ampat, in our data
Raja Ampat is the only park on Wallace's Line with enough records to rate Black-backed Monarch sightings: about 10% of wildlife watchers there report one on a given day.
Where does the Black-backed Monarch sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Black-backed Monarch is recorded against all the birds logged in Raja Ampat (67 verified sightings from 2019 to 2026), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.