Malthaca dimidiata
In 3 days ~40% in a week ~70%
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Great Smoky Mountains National Park | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 2 | Shenandoah National Park | 🇺🇸 United States |
| # | City | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Washington | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 2 | New York City | 🇺🇸 United States |
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report an Orange-Patched Smoky Moth sighting in Shenandoah National Park on a given day, based on 55 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data from 2019 to 2026. It is the 58th most-seen of the 723 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 40%, and over a week to about 70%, if each day is a fresh chance.
May and June
In those months about 30% of wildlife watchers report an Orange-Patched Smoky Moth in Shenandoah National Park on a given day, against under 5% in July to April, the lowest months.
Between 9 am and noon
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Orange-Patched Smoky Moth sightings with a recorded time, and about 9 in 10 of them come between 6 am and 6 pm: it is a daytime animal.
2nd of 2
Of the 2 parks where we can rate Orange-Patched Smoky Moth sightings, Shenandoah National Park ranks 2nd at about 10%. The best odds are in Great Smoky Mountains National Park (United States, about 20%).
Same family: Zygaenidae
The closest relatives of the Orange-Patched Smoky Moth that you can see in Shenandoah National Park (family Zygaenidae, Burnet Moths) are Grapeleaf Skeletonizer Moth (about 10%) and Clemens' False Skeletonizer (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Orange-Patched Smoky Moth is recorded against all the insects logged in Shenandoah National Park (55 verified sightings from 2019 to 2026), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
