Mythimna sicula
In 3 days ~30% in a week ~50%
Mythimna sicula is a species of moth of the family Noctuidae. It is found from Morocco to Libya, central and southern Europe, Turkey, Israel, Iran and Turkmenistan. Adults are on wing year round. There are multiple generations per year.
The larvae feed on various Gramineae species. Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aigüestortes National Park | 🇪🇸 Spain | |
| 2 | Sierra Nevada National Park | 🇪🇸 Spain | |
| 3 | Cévennes National Park | 🇫🇷 France | |
| 4 | Sierra de Guadarrama National Park | 🇪🇸 Spain | |
| 5 | Bavarian Forest National Park | 🇩🇪 Germany | |
| 6 | Pyrénées National Park | 🇫🇷 France |
| # | City | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Porto | 🇵🇹 Portugal |
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Mythimna sicula sighting in Sierra Nevada National Park on a given day, based on 9 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data from 2019 to 2026. It is the 282nd most-seen of the 479 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 30%, and over a week to about 50%, if each day is a fresh chance.
March, May and September
In those months about 20% of wildlife watchers report a Mythimna sicula in Sierra Nevada National Park on a given day, against under 5% in April, June–July and October–February, the lowest months. Those are among Sierra Nevada National Park's wettest months, with about 90 mm of rain a month against 30 mm in July.
Between 10 pm and 1 am
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Mythimna sicula sightings with a recorded time, and about 6 in 10 of them come between 6 pm and 6 am: it is seen both by day and at night.
Among the best
Of the 6 parks where we can rate Mythimna sicula sightings, Sierra Nevada National Park ranks 2nd at about 10%, level with the leaders once rounded. The best odds are in Aigüestortes National Park (Spain, about 10%).
Same genus: Mythimna
The closest relatives of the Mythimna sicula that you can see in Sierra Nevada National Park (genus Mythimna) are L-Album Wainscot (about 10%) and The Clay (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Mythimna sicula is recorded against all the insects logged in Sierra Nevada National Park (9 verified sightings from 2019 to 2026), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
