Thrincophora lignigerana
In 3 days ~20% in a week ~40%
Thrincophora lignigerana is a moth of the family Tortricidae. It is found in Australia, including Tasmania and South Australia. The wingspan is about 28 mm. The forewings are whitish-brown suffused and irregularly spotted and blotched with dark fuscous-brown. The hindwings are pale-grey, with faintly darker strigulae. Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Springbrook National Park | 🇦🇺 Australia | |
| 2 | Blue Mountains National Park | 🇦🇺 Australia |
| # | City | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Melbourne | 🇦🇺 Australia |
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Thrincophora lignigerana sighting in Springbrook National Park on a given day, based on 9 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data from 2019 to 2026. It is the 262nd most-seen of the 429 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 20%, and over a week to about 40%, if each day is a fresh chance.
August
In that month about 30% of wildlife watchers report a Thrincophora lignigerana in Springbrook National Park on a given day, against under 5% in October to June, the lowest months. That is one of Springbrook National Park's driest months, with about 45 mm of rain against 210 mm in February.
Between 6 and 9 am
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Thrincophora lignigerana sightings with a recorded time, and about 6 in 10 of them come between 6 am and 6 pm: it is most active around dawn and dusk.
Yes
Of the 2 parks where we can rate Thrincophora lignigerana sightings, Springbrook National Park has the highest daily chance: about 10%. Next come Blue Mountains National Park (Australia, about 10%).
Same family: Tortricidae
The closest relatives of the Thrincophora lignigerana that you can see in Springbrook National Park (family Tortricidae, Tortricid Leafroller Moths) are Acroceuthes metaxanthana (about 10%), Goboea copiosana (about 10%) and Conchylis fuscicepsana (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Thrincophora lignigerana is recorded against all the insects logged in Springbrook National Park (9 verified sightings from 2019 to 2026), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
