Agrotis porphyricollis
In 3 days ~20% in a week ~40%
Agrotis porphyricollis (variable cutworm) is a noctuid moth. It is found in Tasmania, Victoria and New South Wales. The wingspan is about 30 mm. Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Great Otway National Park | 🇦🇺 Australia | |
| 2 | Blue Mountains National Park | 🇦🇺 Australia |
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Variable Cutworm sighting in Blue Mountains National Park on a given day, based on 22 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data from 2019 to 2026. It is the 181st most-seen of the 789 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 20%, and over a week to about 40%, if each day is a fresh chance.
January–May and August–November
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Variable Cutworm in Blue Mountains National Park on a given day, against under 5% in June–July and December, the lowest months.
Between 8 and 11 pm
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Variable Cutworm sightings with a recorded time, and about half of them come between 6 am and 6 pm: it is seen both by day and at night.
Among the best
Of the 2 parks where we can rate Variable Cutworm sightings, Blue Mountains National Park ranks 2nd at about 10%, level with the leaders once rounded. The best odds are in Great Otway National Park (Australia, about 10%).
Same genus: Agrotis
The closest relatives of the Variable Cutworm that you can see in Blue Mountains National Park (genus Agrotis) are Brown Cutworm (about 20%), Bogong Moth (about 10%) and Ipsilon Dart Moth (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Variable Cutworm is recorded against all the insects logged in Blue Mountains National Park (22 verified sightings from 2019 to 2026), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
