Eresia ithomioides
In 3 days ~30% in a week ~60%
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chagres National Park | 🇵🇦 Panama | |
| 2 | Lago de Yojoa | 🇭🇳 Honduras | |
| 3 | Arenal Volcano National Park | 🇨🇷 Costa Rica | |
| 4 | Braulio Carrillo National Park | 🇨🇷 Costa Rica | |
| 5 | Farallones de Cali National Natural Park | 🇨🇴 Colombia | |
| 6 | Monteverde Cloud Forest Reserve | 🇨🇷 Costa Rica | |
| 7 | La Amistad International Park (Panama) | 🇵🇦 Panama |
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Variable Crescent sighting in Braulio Carrillo National Park on a given day, based on 26 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data from 2019 to 2026. It is the 82nd most-seen of the 378 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 30%, and over a week to about 60%, if each day is a fresh chance.
November
In that month about 30% of wildlife watchers report a Variable Crescent in Braulio Carrillo National Park on a given day, against under 5% in June and August–October, the lowest months. That is one of Braulio Carrillo National Park's wettest months, with about 550 mm of rain against 170 mm in April.
Between 10 am and 1 pm
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Variable Crescent sightings with a recorded time, and about 9 in 10 of them come between 6 am and 6 pm: it is a daytime animal.
4th of 7
Of the 7 parks where we can rate Variable Crescent sightings, Braulio Carrillo National Park ranks 4th at about 10%. The best odds are in Chagres National Park (Panama, about 30%), Lago de Yojoa (Honduras, about 20%) and Arenal Volcano National Park (Costa Rica, about 10%).
Same genus: Eresia
The closest relatives of the Variable Crescent that you can see in Braulio Carrillo National Park (genus Eresia) are Clio Crescent (about 10%) and Tiger Crescent (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Variable Crescent is recorded against all the insects logged in Braulio Carrillo National Park (26 verified sightings from 2019 to 2026), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
