Orthosia cruda
In 3 days ~10% in a week ~30%
Orthosia cruda, the small Quaker, is a moth of the family Noctuidae. It is found in Europe, Morocco, Algeria, Tunisia, Turkey, the Caucasus, Transcaucasia, Kazakhstan, Israel, Lebanon, Cyprus and Jordan. Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Snowdonia National Park | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 2 | Sierra de Guadarrama National Park | 🇪🇸 Spain | |
| 3 | Bavarian Forest National Park | 🇩🇪 Germany | |
| 4 | Cévennes National Park | 🇫🇷 France | |
| 5 | Wadden Sea National Park | 🇩🇪 Germany |
| # | City | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Liverpool | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 2 | London | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 3 | Prague | 🇨🇿 Czechia | |
| 4 | Paris | 🇫🇷 France | |
| 5 | Vienna | 🇦🇹 Austria | |
| 6 | Essen | 🇩🇪 Germany | |
| 7 | Birmingham | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 8 | Manchester | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 9 | Hamburg | 🇩🇪 Germany | |
| 10 | Nizhny Novgorod | 🇷🇺 Russia |
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Small Quaker sighting in Cévennes National Park on a given day, based on 13 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data from 2019 to 2026. It is the 666th most-seen of the 996 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 30%, if each day is a fresh chance.
February–March, May and November
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Small Quaker in Cévennes National Park on a given day, against under 5% in April, June–October and December–January, the lowest months.
Between 8 and 11 am
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Small Quaker sightings with a recorded time, and about 6 in 10 of them come between 6 am and 6 pm: it is seen both by day and at night.
Among the best
Of the 5 parks where we can rate Small Quaker sightings, Cévennes National Park ranks 4th at about 10%, level with the leaders once rounded. The best odds are in Snowdonia National Park (United Kingdom, about 10%), Sierra de Guadarrama National Park (Spain, about 10%) and Bavarian Forest National Park (Germany, about 10%).
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Small Quaker is recorded against all the insects logged in Cévennes National Park (13 verified sightings from 2019 to 2026), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
