Carcina quercana
In 3 days ~10% in a week ~20%
Carcina quercana is a species of moth of the family Depressariidae. It is found in Europe. It has been introduced recently in North America, British Columbia and western Washington. It is occasionally known by several common names including oak lantern, long-horned flat-body, and oak-skeletonizer moth (the last most common in North America).
The wingspan is 16–20 mm. The forewings are light ochreous, more or less purple-tinged, sprinkled with dark fuscous; costal edge purple; a yellow blotch along costa near base, and another beyond middle; a fuscous transverse line at 1/4, followed by a yellowish suffusion towards dorsum; stigmata dark grey, plical usually faint; a terminal purple line; cilia bright yellow except on tornus. Hindwings are yellow-whitish, apex rosy-tinged. The larva is pale green; dorsal line darker, paler -edged; head yellowish-green,
The larvae feed on various deciduous trees, including oak and beech. Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bavarian Forest National Park | 🇩🇪 Germany | |
| 2 | Wadden Sea National Park | 🇩🇪 Germany | |
| 3 | Snowdonia National Park | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 4 | Cévennes National Park | 🇫🇷 France | |
| 5 | Pyrénées National Park | 🇫🇷 France |
| # | City | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Liverpool | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 2 | London | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 3 | Porto | 🇵🇹 Portugal | |
| 4 | Manchester | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 5 | Birmingham | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 6 | Copenhagen | 🇩🇰 Denmark | |
| 7 | Hamburg | 🇩🇪 Germany | |
| 8 | Prague | 🇨🇿 Czechia | |
| 9 | Paris | 🇫🇷 France | |
| 10 | Berlin | 🇩🇪 Germany |
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report an Oak Lantern sighting in Berlin on a given day, based on 7 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 801st most-seen of the 1065 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 20%, if each day is a fresh chance.
September
In that month about 10% of wildlife watchers report an Oak Lantern in Berlin on a given day, against under 5% in October to August, the lowest months.
Between 10 pm and 1 am
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Oak Lantern sightings with a recorded time, and about 6 in 10 of them come between 6 pm and 6 am: it is seen both by day and at night.
10th of 13
Of the 13 cities where we can rate Oak Lantern sightings, Berlin ranks 10th at under 5%. The best odds are in Liverpool (United Kingdom, about 20%), London (United Kingdom, about 10%) and Porto (Portugal, about 10%).
Same order: Lepidoptera
The closest relatives of the Oak Lantern that you can see in Berlin (order Lepidoptera, Butterflies and Moths) are Red Admiral (about 20%), European Peacock Butterfly (about 20%) and Box Tree Moth (about 20%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Oak Lantern is recorded against all the insects logged in Berlin (7 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
