Melipotis cellaris
In 3 days ~10% in a week ~20%
Melipotis cellaris, the cellar melipotis moth, is a species of moth in the family Erebidae. It is found in Mexico (Morelos), Colombia, Venezuela, Paraguay, Argentina, Uruguay, the West Indies and the southern United States, where it has been recorded from Florida, Kansas, Louisiana, New Mexico and Texas.
The wingspan is 35-37 mm. Adults are on wing year round in Texas. Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cumbres de Monterrey National Park | 🇲🇽 Mexico |
More parks will be added in future updates.
| # | City | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Austin | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 2 | Cordoba | 🇦🇷 Argentina | |
| 3 | San Antonio | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 4 | Monterrey | 🇲🇽 México | |
| 5 | Houston | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 6 | Dallas | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 7 | Buenos Aires | 🇦🇷 Argentina |
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Cellar Graphic sighting in Buenos Aires on a given day, based on 12 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 358th most-seen of the 558 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 20%, if each day is a fresh chance.
November
In that month about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Cellar Graphic in Buenos Aires on a given day, against under 5% in December to October, the lowest months.
Between 9 am and noon
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Cellar Graphic sightings with a recorded time, and about 6 in 10 of them come between 6 pm and 6 am: it is seen both by day and at night.
7th of 7
Of the 7 cities where we can rate Cellar Graphic sightings, Buenos Aires ranks 7th at under 5%. The best odds are in Austin (United States, about 10%), Cordoba (Argentina, about 10%) and San Antonio (United States, about 10%).
Same family: Erebidae
The closest relatives of the Cellar Graphic that you can see in Buenos Aires (family Erebidae, Underwing, Tiger, Tussock, and Allied Moths) are Ctenucha rubriceps (about 10%), Dysschema sacrifica (about 10%) and Halysidota ruscheweyhi (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Cellar Graphic is recorded against all the insects logged in Buenos Aires (12 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
