What are the chances of seeing a Woody Underwing in Chicago?
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Woody Underwing sighting in Chicago on a given day, based on 10 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 669th most-seen of the 978 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 20%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see a Woody Underwing in Chicago?
Any time of year
In every month with enough records, under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Woody Underwing in Chicago on a given day, so our monthly data shows no clear season.
Is Chicago the best place to see a Woody Underwing?
Among the best
Of the 4 cities where we can rate Woody Underwing sightings, Chicago ranks 3rd at under 5%, level with the leaders once rounded. The best odds are in Minneapolis [Saint Paul] (United States, under 5%) and Toronto (Canada, under 5%).
Where does the Woody Underwing sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Woody Underwing is recorded against all the insects logged in Chicago (10 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.