Simplicia cornicalis
In 3 days ~10% in a week ~20%
Simplicia cornicalis is a litter moth of the family Erebidae. The species was first described by Johan Christian Fabricius in 1794. It is found in south-eastern Asia and the Pacific. Records include New Caledonia, Réunion, Thailand, Fiji, Hawaii, India, Sri Lanka, the Society Islands, as well as New South Wales and Queensland in Australia. It is an introduced species in southern Florida and Louisiana in the United States. Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lamington National Park | 🇦🇺 Australia | |
| 2 | Daintree National Park | 🇦🇺 Australia | |
| 3 | Springbrook National Park | 🇦🇺 Australia | |
| 4 | Blue Mountains National Park | 🇦🇺 Australia |
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Simplicia cornicalis sighting in Hong Kong on a given day, based on 5 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 1005th most-seen of the 1125 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 20%, if each day is a fresh chance.
April
In that month about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Simplicia cornicalis in Hong Kong on a given day, against under 5% in May to March, the lowest months.
Between 7 and 10 pm
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Simplicia cornicalis sightings with a recorded time, and about 8 in 10 of them come between 6 pm and 6 am: it is mostly seen at night.
2nd of 4
Of the 4 cities where we can rate Simplicia cornicalis sightings, Hong Kong ranks 2nd at under 5%. The best odds are in Brisbane (Australia, about 10%).
Same family: Erebidae
The closest relatives of the Simplicia cornicalis that you can see in Hong Kong (family Erebidae, Underwing, Tiger, Tussock, and Allied Moths) are Banyan Tussock Moth (about 20%), Orvasca subnotata (about 20%) and Zhejiang Tussock Moth (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Simplicia cornicalis is recorded against all the insects logged in Hong Kong (5 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
