Damora pandora
In 3 days ~30% in a week ~60%
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kiskunság National Park | 🇭🇺 Hungary | |
| 2 | Hortobágy National Park | 🇭🇺 Hungary | |
| 3 | Sierra Nevada National Park | 🇪🇸 Spain | |
| 4 | Sierra de Guadarrama National Park | 🇪🇸 Spain | |
| 5 | Cévennes National Park | 🇫🇷 France | |
| 6 | Pyrénées National Park | 🇫🇷 France |
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Cardinal Butterfly sighting in Madrid on a given day, based on 80 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 42nd most-seen of the 457 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 30%, and over a week to about 60%, if each day is a fresh chance.
June–July and September
In those months about 20% of wildlife watchers report a Cardinal Butterfly in Madrid on a given day, against under 5% in October to April, the lowest months. Those are among Madrid's driest months, with about 20 mm of rain a month against 65 mm in October.
Between 11 am and 2 pm
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Cardinal Butterfly sightings with a recorded time, and about 9 in 10 of them come between 6 am and 6 pm: it is a daytime animal.
7th of 8
Of the 8 cities where we can rate Cardinal Butterfly sightings, Madrid ranks 7th at about 10%. The best odds are in Yerevan (Armenia, about 30%), Budapest (Hungary, about 30%) and Ankara (Turkey, about 20%).
Same family: Nymphalidae
The closest relatives of the Cardinal Butterfly that you can see in Madrid (family Nymphalidae, Brush-footed Butterflies) are Speckled Wood (about 20%), Painted Lady (about 20%) and Red Admiral (about 20%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Cardinal Butterfly is recorded against all the insects logged in Madrid (80 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
