Xanthorhoe designata
In 3 days ~20% in a week ~50%
Xanthorhoe designata, the flame carpet, is a moth of the genus Xanthorhoe in the family Geometridae. The species was first described by Johann Siegfried Hufnagel in 1767. Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Snowdonia National Park | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 2 | Cairngorms National Park | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 3 | Bavarian Forest National Park | 🇩🇪 Germany | |
| 4 | Pyrénées National Park | 🇫🇷 France |
| # | City | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Liverpool | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 2 | Manchester | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 3 | Birmingham | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 4 | Helsinki | 🇫🇮 Finland | |
| 5 | London | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 6 | Moscow | 🇷🇺 Russia |
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Flame Carpet sighting in Manchester on a given day, based on 27 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 154th most-seen of the 458 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 20%, and over a week to about 50%, if each day is a fresh chance.
August
In that month about 20% of wildlife watchers report a Flame Carpet in Manchester on a given day, against under 5% in October to March, the lowest months.
Between 7 and 10 am
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Flame Carpet sightings with a recorded time, and about 8 in 10 of them come between 6 am and 6 pm: it is a daytime animal.
2nd of 6
Of the 6 cities where we can rate Flame Carpet sightings, Manchester ranks 2nd at about 10%. The best odds are in Liverpool (United Kingdom, about 20%).
Same genus: Xanthorhoe
The closest relatives of the Flame Carpet that you can see in Manchester (genus Xanthorhoe) are Garden Carpet (about 10%) and Silver-Ground Carpet (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Flame Carpet is recorded against all the insects logged in Manchester (27 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
