What are the chances of seeing a Willow Beauty in Manchester?
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Willow Beauty sighting in Manchester on a given day, based on 67 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 70th most-seen of the 458 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 40%, and over a week to about 70%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see a Willow Beauty in Manchester?
August
In that month about 30% of wildlife watchers report a Willow Beauty in Manchester on a given day, against under 5% in November to April, the lowest months.
What time of day is best to see a Willow Beauty?
Between 10 pm and 1 am
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Willow Beauty sightings with a recorded time, and about 6 in 10 of them come between 6 pm and 6 am: it is seen both by day and at night.
Is Manchester the best place to see a Willow Beauty?
6th of 34
Of the 34 cities where we can rate Willow Beauty sightings, Manchester ranks 6th at about 10%. The best odds are in Liverpool (United Kingdom, about 40%), London (United Kingdom, about 20%) and Kharkiv (Ukraine, about 20%).
Which relatives of the Willow Beauty live in Manchester?
Same family: Geometridae
The closest relatives of the Willow Beauty that you can see in Manchester (family Geometridae, Geometer Moths) are Riband Wave (about 20%), Garden Carpet (about 10%) and Double-Striped Pug (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
Where does the Willow Beauty sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Willow Beauty is recorded against all the insects logged in Manchester (67 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.