What are the chances of seeing a Pale Prominent in Manchester?
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Pale Prominent sighting in Manchester on a given day, based on 10 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 278th most-seen of the 458 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 20%, and over a week to about 30%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see a Pale Prominent in Manchester?
May and July–September
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Pale Prominent in Manchester on a given day, against under 5% in June and October–April, the lowest months.
What time of day is best to see a Pale Prominent?
Between 10 pm and 1 am
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Pale Prominent sightings with a recorded time, and about 6 in 10 of them come between 6 pm and 6 am: it is seen both by day and at night.
Is Manchester the best place to see a Pale Prominent?
Among the best
Of the 12 cities where we can rate Pale Prominent sightings, Manchester ranks 3rd at about 10%, level with the leaders once rounded. The best odds are in Liverpool (United Kingdom, about 10%) and Porto (Portugal, about 10%).
Which relatives of the Pale Prominent live in Manchester?
Same family: Notodontidae
The closest relatives of the Pale Prominent that you can see in Manchester (family Notodontidae, Prominent Moths) are Buff-Tip (about 10%) and Iron Prominent (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
Where does the Pale Prominent sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Pale Prominent is recorded against all the insects logged in Manchester (10 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.