Orthosia cruda
In 3 days ~10% in a week ~30%
Orthosia cruda, the small Quaker, is a moth of the family Noctuidae. It is found in Europe, Morocco, Algeria, Tunisia, Turkey, the Caucasus, Transcaucasia, Kazakhstan, Israel, Lebanon, Cyprus and Jordan. Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Snowdonia National Park | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 2 | Sierra de Guadarrama National Park | 🇪🇸 Spain | |
| 3 | Bavarian Forest National Park | 🇩🇪 Germany | |
| 4 | Cévennes National Park | 🇫🇷 France | |
| 5 | Wadden Sea National Park | 🇩🇪 Germany |
| # | City | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Liverpool | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 2 | London | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 3 | Prague | 🇨🇿 Czechia | |
| 4 | Paris | 🇫🇷 France | |
| 5 | Vienna | 🇦🇹 Austria | |
| 6 | Essen | 🇩🇪 Germany | |
| 7 | Birmingham | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 8 | Manchester | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 9 | Hamburg | 🇩🇪 Germany | |
| 10 | Nizhny Novgorod | 🇷🇺 Russia |
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Small Quaker sighting in Manchester on a given day, based on 9 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 320th most-seen of the 458 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 30%, if each day is a fresh chance.
March and April
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Small Quaker in Manchester on a given day, against under 5% in May to February, the lowest months.
Between 8 and 11 am
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Small Quaker sightings with a recorded time, and about 6 in 10 of them come between 6 am and 6 pm: it is seen both by day and at night.
8th of 12
Of the 12 cities where we can rate Small Quaker sightings, Manchester ranks 8th at under 5%. The best odds are in Liverpool (United Kingdom, about 10%), London (United Kingdom, about 10%) and Prague (Czechia, about 10%).
Same genus: Orthosia
The closest relatives of the Small Quaker that you can see in Manchester (genus Orthosia) are Hebrew Character (about 10%), Common Quaker (about 10%) and Clouded Drab (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Small Quaker is recorded against all the insects logged in Manchester (9 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
