Heraclides rogeri
In 3 days ~30% in a week ~60%
Papilio rogeri, the pink-spotted swallowtail, is a butterfly of the family Papilionidae (swallowtails). It is found in central and southern Mexico. One stray has been reported from the lower Rio Grande Valley in Texas, United States. Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|
More parks will be added in future updates.
| # | City | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Puebla | 🇲🇽 México | |
| 2 | San Luis Potosí | 🇲🇽 México | |
| 3 | Mexico City | 🇲🇽 México | |
| 4 | Guadalajara | 🇲🇽 México |
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Pink-Spotted Swallowtail sighting in Mexico City on a given day, based on 370 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 31st most-seen of the 557 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 30%, and over a week to about 60%, if each day is a fresh chance.
June–July and September
In those months about 20% of wildlife watchers report a Pink-Spotted Swallowtail in Mexico City on a given day, against under 5% in February, the lowest month. Those are among Mexico City's wettest months, with about 150 mm of rain a month against 5 mm in December.
3rd of 4
Of the 4 cities where we can rate Pink-Spotted Swallowtail sightings, Mexico City ranks 3rd at about 10%. The best odds are in Puebla (México, about 20%) and San Luis Potosí (México, about 10%).
Same family: Papilionidae
The closest relatives of the Pink-Spotted Swallowtail that you can see in Mexico City (family Papilionidae, Swallowtails and Parnassians) are Two-Tailed Swallowtail (about 40%), Black Swallowtail (about 20%) and Magnificent Swallowtail (about 20%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Pink-Spotted Swallowtail is recorded against all the insects logged in Mexico City (370 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
