Zerene cesonia
In 3 days ~20% in a week ~40%
Zerene cesonia, the southern dogface, is a North and South American butterfly in the family Pieridae, subfamily Coliadinae (until recently the species was sometimes placed in the related genus Colias instead of Zerene). Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Big Bend National Park | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 2 | Saguaro National Park | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 3 | Bahía de Loreto National Park | 🇲🇽 Mexico | |
| 4 | Cabo Pulmo National Park | 🇲🇽 Mexico | |
| 5 | Reserva de la Biosfera Mariposa Monarca | 🇲🇽 Mexico | |
| 6 | Guadalupe Mountains National Park | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 7 | Cumbres de Monterrey National Park | 🇲🇽 Mexico | |
| 8 | Point Pelee National Park | 🇨🇦 Canada | |
| 9 | Padre Island National Seashore | 🇺🇸 United States |
| # | City | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | La Paz | 🇧🇴 Bolivia | |
| 2 | Cochabamba | 🇧🇴 Bolivia | |
| 3 | San Luis Potosí | 🇲🇽 México | |
| 4 | San Antonio | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 5 | Toluca | 🇲🇽 México | |
| 6 | Monterrey | 🇲🇽 México | |
| 7 | Austin | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 8 | Guadalajara | 🇲🇽 México | |
| 9 | Puebla | 🇲🇽 México | |
| 10 | Mexico City | 🇲🇽 México |
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Southern Dogface sighting in Mexico City on a given day, based on 179 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 63rd most-seen of the 557 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 20%, and over a week to about 40%, if each day is a fresh chance.
April, June and August–February
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Southern Dogface in Mexico City on a given day, against under 5% in March, May and July, the lowest months.
Between 11 am and 2 pm
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Southern Dogface sightings with a recorded time, and about 9 in 10 of them come between 6 am and 6 pm: it is a daytime animal.
10th of 15
Of the 15 cities where we can rate Southern Dogface sightings, Mexico City ranks 10th at about 10%. The best odds are in La Paz (Bolivia, about 20%), Cochabamba (Bolivia, about 20%) and San Luis Potosí (México, about 10%).
Same family: Pieridae
The closest relatives of the Southern Dogface that you can see in Mexico City (family Pieridae, Whites, Yellows, and Sulphurs) are Green-Eyed White (about 30%), Orange-Barred Sulphur (about 20%) and Mexican Dartwhite (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Southern Dogface is recorded against all the insects logged in Mexico City (179 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
