Lilioceris lilii
In 3 days ~20% in a week ~40%
The scarlet lily beetle, red lily beetle, or lily leaf beetle (Lilioceris lilii), is a leaf beetle that eats the leaves, stem, buds, and flowers, of lilies, fritillaries and other members of the family Liliaceae. It lays its eggs most often on Lilium and Fritillaria species. In the absence of Lilium and Fritillaria species, there are fewer eggs laid and the survival rate of eggs and larvae is reduced. It is now a pest in most temperate climates where it is not indigenous and lilies are cultivated.
The scarlet lily beetle belongs to the order Coleoptera, and the family Chrysomelidae, the leaf beetles. The adult lily beetle is about 6 to 9 mm (1⁄4 to 3⁄8 in) in length, with relatively long legs and antennae. Its elytra (harder forewings) are bright scarlet and shiny. Its underside, legs, eyes, antennae and head are all black. It has large eyes, a slim thorax, and a wide abdomen. Each antenna is made up of 11 segments. The eyes are notched and there are two grooves on the thorax.
The scarlet lily beetle may be confused with the cardinal beetle (Pyrochroa serraticornis), which also has red elytra and a black underside. The wing cases of the lily leaf beetle are dimpled... Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mercantour National Park | 🇫🇷 France | |
| 2 | Ecrins National Park | 🇫🇷 France | |
| 3 | Pyrénées National Park | 🇫🇷 France | |
| 4 | Bavarian Forest National Park | 🇩🇪 Germany | |
| 5 | Cévennes National Park | 🇫🇷 France | |
| 6 | Acadia National Park | 🇺🇸 United States |
| # | City | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Liverpool | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 2 | Manchester | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 3 | Detroit | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 4 | Birmingham | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 5 | London | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 6 | Turin | 🇮🇹 Italy | |
| 7 | Edmonton | 🇨🇦 Canada | |
| 8 | Minneapolis [Saint Paul] | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 9 | Leeds | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 10 | New York City | 🇺🇸 United States |
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Lily Leaf Beetle sighting in Minneapolis [Saint Paul] on a given day, based on 85 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 99th most-seen of the 672 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 20%, and over a week to about 40%, if each day is a fresh chance.
April to July
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Lily Leaf Beetle in Minneapolis [Saint Paul] on a given day, against under 5% in August to March, the lowest months. Those are among Minneapolis [Saint Paul]'s wettest months, with about 100 mm of rain a month against 20 mm in January.
Between 1 and 4 pm
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Lily Leaf Beetle sightings with a recorded time, and about 9 in 10 of them come between 6 am and 6 pm: it is a daytime animal.
Among the best
Of the 35 cities where we can rate Lily Leaf Beetle sightings, Minneapolis [Saint Paul] ranks 8th at about 10%, level with the leaders once rounded. The best odds are in Liverpool (United Kingdom, about 10%), Manchester (United Kingdom, about 10%) and Detroit (United States, about 10%).
Same family: Chrysomelidae
The closest relatives of the Lily Leaf Beetle that you can see in Minneapolis [Saint Paul] (family Chrysomelidae, Leaf Beetles) are Swamp Milkweed Leaf Beetle (about 10%), Spotted Cucumber Beetle (about 10%) and Sumac Flea Beetle (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Lily Leaf Beetle is recorded against all the insects logged in Minneapolis [Saint Paul] (85 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
