Acronicta alni
In 3 days ~10% in a week ~20%
Acronicta alni, the alder moth, is a moth of the family Noctuidae. It is found in Europe (from southern Fennoscandia to Spain, Italy and the Balkans), Turkey, the European part of Russia and the neighbouring countries, the Caucasus, the Ural, southern Siberia, Transbaikalia, the Russian Far East (Primorye, Sakhalin, southern Kuriles, Khabarovsk and the Amur region), China, Japan (Hokkaido and Honshu) and the Korean Peninsula. Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nikko National Park | 🇯🇵 Japan | |
| 2 | Triglav National Park | 🇸🇮 Slovenia | |
| 3 | Snowdonia National Park | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 4 | Bavarian Forest National Park | 🇩🇪 Germany | |
| 5 | Cévennes National Park | 🇫🇷 France | |
| 6 | Pyrénées National Park | 🇫🇷 France |
| # | City | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Helsinki | 🇫🇮 Finland | |
| 2 | Birmingham | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 3 | Essen | 🇩🇪 Germany | |
| 4 | Moscow | 🇷🇺 Russia | |
| 5 | London | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom |
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report an Alder Moth sighting in Moscow on a given day, based on 37 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 269th most-seen of the 1111 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 20%, if each day is a fresh chance.
July
In that month about 10% of wildlife watchers report an Alder Moth in Moscow on a given day, against under 5% in August to June, the lowest months. That is one of Moscow's wettest months, with about 95 mm of rain against 40 mm in February.
Between 9 pm and midnight
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Alder Moth sightings with a recorded time, and about 6 in 10 of them come between 6 am and 6 pm: it is seen both by day and at night.
4th of 5
Of the 5 cities where we can rate Alder Moth sightings, Moscow ranks 4th at under 5%. The best odds are in Helsinki (Finland, about 10%), Birmingham (United Kingdom, under 5%) and Essen (Germany, under 5%).
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Alder Moth is recorded against all the insects logged in Moscow (37 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
