What are the chances of seeing a Eurasian Red-And-Black Melyrid in Philadelphia?
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Eurasian Red-And-Black Melyrid sighting in Philadelphia on a given day, based on 98 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 65th most-seen of the 632 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 20%, and over a week to about 50%, if each day is a fresh chance.