Cyclophora puppillaria
In 3 days ~40% in a week ~70%
Cyclophora puppillaria, or Blair's mocha, is a moth of the family Geometridae. The species was first described by Jacob Hübner in 1799. It can be found in Europe and from North Africa up to the Caucasus area. The wingspan is 28–36 mm in the first generation; the second and any subsequent generations are on average much smaller often only 19 mm. Front and hindwings have almost the same colour. This is however very variable and ranges usually from reddish brown to reddish yellow and light brown. Some specimens are sand coloured, brown or orange. Also, the pattern is very variable. The inner and outer cross lines, as well as the median band can be very well developed, but also almost completely missing. The interior cross line, but especially the outer cross line is often replaced by a row of dots. The discal spots on the front and rear wings can be large, small or completely absent. In specimens with large discal spots, these are often with white pupils. The front wing margin stains present on the hindwings, but mostly absent. The basal half of the costa is often dark. Where the inner and outer cross line reach the costal of the forewings, noticeable spots are usually... Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cévennes National Park | 🇫🇷 France | |
| 2 | Sierra de Guadarrama National Park | 🇪🇸 Spain | |
| 3 | Pyrénées National Park | 🇫🇷 France |
Possible
About 20% of wildlife watchers report a Blair's Mocha sighting in Porto on a given day, based on 190 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 20th most-seen of the 498 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 40%, and over a week to about 70%, if each day is a fresh chance.
August
In that month about 30% of wildlife watchers report a Blair's Mocha in Porto on a given day, against under 5% in December and January, the lowest months. That is one of Porto's driest months, with about 20 mm of rain against 140 mm in January.
Between 11 pm and 2 am
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Blair's Mocha sightings with a recorded time, and about 7 in 10 of them come between 6 pm and 6 am: it is seen both by day and at night.
Yes
Of the 7 cities where we can rate Blair's Mocha sightings, Porto has the highest daily chance: about 20%. Next come Valencia (Spain, about 10%) and Tel Aviv (Israel, about 10%).
Same genus: Cyclophora
The closest relatives of the Blair's Mocha that you can see in Porto (genus Cyclophora, Mochas) are Clay Triple-Lines (about 10%) and Maiden's Blush (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Blair's Mocha is recorded against all the insects logged in Porto (190 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
