Microcrambus elegans
In 3 days ~10% in a week ~30%
Microcrambus elegans, the elegant grass-veneer moth, is a moth of the family Crambidae which was first described in 1860 by James Brackenridge Clemens. Adults are on wing from June to August in the north and from March to October in the south. There is one generation per year in the north and multiple in the south. Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shenandoah National Park | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 2 | Great Smoky Mountains National Park | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 3 | Point Pelee National Park | 🇨🇦 Canada | |
| 4 | Acadia National Park | 🇺🇸 United States |
| # | City | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boston | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 2 | Detroit | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 3 | Baltimore | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 4 | Washington | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 5 | Chicago | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 6 | Montreal | 🇨🇦 Canada | |
| 7 | Philadelphia | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 8 | Toronto | 🇨🇦 Canada | |
| 9 | New York City | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 10 | Minneapolis [Saint Paul] | 🇺🇸 United States |
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report an Elegant Grass-Veneer sighting in Toronto on a given day, based on 128 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 191st most-seen of the 1689 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 30%, if each day is a fresh chance.
July and August
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report an Elegant Grass-Veneer in Toronto on a given day, against under 5% in September to June, the lowest months.
Between 8 and 11 pm
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Elegant Grass-Veneer sightings with a recorded time, and about 7 in 10 of them come between 6 pm and 6 am: it is seen both by day and at night.
Among the best
Of the 12 cities where we can rate Elegant Grass-Veneer sightings, Toronto ranks 8th at about 10%, level with the leaders once rounded. The best odds are in Boston (United States, about 10%), Detroit (United States, about 10%) and Baltimore (United States, about 10%).
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Elegant Grass-Veneer is recorded against all the insects logged in Toronto (128 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
