Magusa divaricata
In 3 days ~10% in a week ~30%
Magusa divaricata, the orbed narrow-wing, is a moth of the family Noctuidae. The species was first described by Augustus Radcliffe Grote in 1874. It is found from eastern Canada south through the Caribbean and Central America to Paraguay and Argentina. It is a migratory species, which travels north in late summer and fall.
The wingspan is 40 mm. Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Big Bend National Park | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 2 | Cumbres de Monterrey National Park | 🇲🇽 Mexico |
| # | City | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Austin | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 2 | Monterrey | 🇲🇽 México | |
| 3 | Boston | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 4 | Mexico City | 🇲🇽 México | |
| 5 | Chicago | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 6 | San Antonio | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 7 | Toronto | 🇨🇦 Canada | |
| 8 | Dallas | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 9 | Houston | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 10 | New York City | 🇺🇸 United States |
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Variable Narrow-Wing sighting in Cumbres de Monterrey National Park on a given day, based on 13 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data from 2019 to 2026. It is the 188th most-seen of the 431 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 30%, if each day is a fresh chance.
April–June and November
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Variable Narrow-Wing in Cumbres de Monterrey National Park on a given day, against under 5% in July–October and December–March, the lowest months.
Between midnight and 3 am
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Variable Narrow-Wing sightings with a recorded time, and about 8 in 10 of them come between 6 pm and 6 am: it is mostly seen at night.
Among the best
Of the 2 parks where we can rate Variable Narrow-Wing sightings, Cumbres de Monterrey National Park ranks 2nd at about 10%, level with the leaders once rounded. The best odds are in Big Bend National Park (United States, about 10%).
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Variable Narrow-Wing is recorded against all the insects logged in Cumbres de Monterrey National Park (13 verified sightings from 2019 to 2026), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
