What are the chances of seeing a Cape Wagtail in Lake Nakuru National Park?
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Cape Wagtail sighting in Lake Nakuru National Park on a given day, based on 8 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data from 2019 to 2026. It is the 319th most-seen of the 369 birds we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to under 5%, and over a week to about 10%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see a Cape Wagtail in Lake Nakuru National Park?
Any time of year
In every month with enough records, under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Cape Wagtail in Lake Nakuru National Park on a given day, so our monthly data shows no clear season.
What time of day is best to see a Cape Wagtail?
Between 9 am and noon
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Cape Wagtail sightings with a recorded time, and nearly all of them come between 6 am and 6 pm: it is a daytime animal.
Is Lake Nakuru National Park the best place to see a Cape Wagtail?
24th of 25
Of the 25 parks where we can rate Cape Wagtail sightings, Lake Nakuru National Park ranks 24th at under 5%. The best odds are in West Coast National Park (South Africa, about 70%), De Hoop Nature Reserve (South Africa, about 60%) and Addo Elephant National Park (South Africa, about 60%). All parks ranked.
Which relatives of the Cape Wagtail live in Lake Nakuru National Park?
Same genus: Motacilla
The closest relatives of the Cape Wagtail that you can see in Lake Nakuru National Park (genus Motacilla, Wagtails) are African Pied Wagtail (about 30%) and Western Yellow Wagtail (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
Where does the Cape Wagtail sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Cape Wagtail is recorded against all the birds logged in Lake Nakuru National Park (8 verified sightings from 2019 to 2026), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.