Estrilda rhodopyga
Silhouette: Ferran Sayol · PhyloPic
In 3 days ~20% in a week ~50%
The crimson-rumped waxbill (Estrilda rhodopyga) also known as rosy-rumped waxbill is a common species of estrildid finch found in eastern Africa. It has an estimated global extent of occurrence of 830,000 km2. It is found in Burundi, The Democratic Republic of the Congo, Djibouti, Egypt, Eritrea, South Africa, Ethiopia, Kenya, Malawi, Rwanda, Somalia, Sudan, Tanzania and Uganda. The IUCN has classified the species as being of least concern.
BirdLife International species factsheet Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Amboseli National Park | 🇰🇪 Kenya | |
| 2 | Nairobi National Park | 🇰🇪 Kenya | |
| 3 | Tsavo West National Park | 🇰🇪 Kenya | |
| 4 | Samburu National Reserve | 🇰🇪 Kenya | |
| 5 | Lake Nakuru National Park | 🇰🇪 Kenya | |
| 6 | Arusha National Park | 🇹🇿 Tanzania | |
| 7 | Mkomazi National Park | 🇹🇿 Tanzania | |
| 8 | Awash National Park | 🇪🇹 Ethiopia | |
| 9 | Virunga National Park | 🇨🇩 Democratic Republic of the Congo | |
| 10 | Queen Elizabeth National Park | 🇺🇬 Uganda | |
| 11 | Tsavo East National Park | 🇰🇪 Kenya | |
| 12 | Ngorongoro Conservation Area | 🇹🇿 Tanzania | |
| 13 | Ruaha National Park | 🇹🇿 Tanzania | |
| 14 | Akagera National Park | 🇷🇼 Rwanda | |
| 15 | Serengeti National Park | 🇹🇿 Tanzania | |
| 16 | Lake Manyara National Park | 🇹🇿 Tanzania | |
| 17 | Tarangire National Park | 🇹🇿 Tanzania | |
| 18 | Lake Mburo National Park | 🇺🇬 Uganda | |
| 19 | Murchison Falls National Park | 🇺🇬 Uganda | |
| 20 | Masai Mara National Reserve | 🇰🇪 Kenya | |
| 21 | Kibale National Park | 🇺🇬 Uganda |
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Crimson-rumped Waxbill sighting in Lake Nakuru National Park on a given day, based on 90 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data from 2019 to 2026. It is the 166th most-seen of the 369 birds we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 20%, and over a week to about 50%, if each day is a fresh chance.
May
In that month about 30% of wildlife watchers report a Crimson-rumped Waxbill in Lake Nakuru National Park on a given day, against under 5% in February and September–October, the lowest months.
Between 7 and 10 am
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Crimson-rumped Waxbill sightings with a recorded time, and about 8 in 10 of them come between 6 am and 6 pm: it is a daytime animal.
5th of 21
Of the 21 parks where we can rate Crimson-rumped Waxbill sightings, Lake Nakuru National Park ranks 5th at about 10%. The best odds are in Amboseli National Park (Kenya, about 20%), Nairobi National Park (Kenya, about 10%) and Tsavo West National Park (Kenya, about 10%).
Same family: Estrildidae
The closest relatives of the Crimson-rumped Waxbill that you can see in Lake Nakuru National Park (family Estrildidae, Waxbills and Allies) are Red-cheeked Cordon-bleu (about 70%), Red-billed Firefinch (about 20%) and Purple Grenadier (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Crimson-rumped Waxbill is recorded against all the birds logged in Lake Nakuru National Park (90 verified sightings from 2019 to 2026), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
