What are the chances of seeing a Ceraunus Blue in Gandoca-Manzanillo Wildlife Refuge?
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Ceraunus Blue sighting in Gandoca-Manzanillo Wildlife Refuge on a given day, based on 5 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data from 2019 to 2026. It is the 58th most-seen of the 72 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 30%, and over a week to about 50%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see a Ceraunus Blue in Gandoca-Manzanillo Wildlife Refuge?
March, June, August and December
In those months about 20% of wildlife watchers report a Ceraunus Blue in Gandoca-Manzanillo Wildlife Refuge on a given day, against under 5% in January–February, April–May, July and September–November, the lowest months.
What time of day is best to see a Ceraunus Blue?
Between 10 am and 1 pm
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Ceraunus Blue sightings with a recorded time, and nearly all of them come between 6 am and 6 pm: it is a daytime animal.
Is Gandoca-Manzanillo Wildlife Refuge the best place to see a Ceraunus Blue?
10th of 12
Of the 12 parks where we can rate Ceraunus Blue sightings, Gandoca-Manzanillo Wildlife Refuge ranks 10th at about 10%. The best odds are in Padre Island National Seashore (United States, about 30%), Ría Lagartos Biosphere Reserve (Mexico, about 30%) and Merritt Island National Wildlife Refuge (United States, about 30%).
Which relatives of the Ceraunus Blue live in Gandoca-Manzanillo Wildlife Refuge?
Same family: Lycaenidae
The closest relatives of the Ceraunus Blue that you can see in Gandoca-Manzanillo Wildlife Refuge (family Lycaenidae, Gossamer-winged Butterflies) are Togarna Hairstreak (about 20%), White-Tipped Cycadian (about 10%) and Elkalyce comyntas (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
Where does the Ceraunus Blue sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Ceraunus Blue is recorded against all the insects logged in Gandoca-Manzanillo Wildlife Refuge (5 verified sightings from 2019 to 2026), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.