Scopula submutata
In 3 days ~30% in a week ~50%
Scopula submutata, the Mediterranean lace border, is a moth of the family Geometridae. It is found in southern Europe, North Africa and the Near East. The habitat consists of open, dry grassland and rocky slopes. The wingspan is 20–25 millimetres (0.79–0.98 in). There are two generations per year, with adults on wing from May to October.
The larvae feed on Thymus species and Origanum vulgare. Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sierra Nevada National Park | 🇪🇸 Spain | |
| 2 | Doñana National Park | 🇪🇸 Spain | |
| 3 | Cévennes National Park | 🇫🇷 France | |
| 4 | Pyrénées National Park | 🇫🇷 France |
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Scopula submutata sighting in Sierra Nevada National Park on a given day, based on 7 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data from 2019 to 2026. It is the 282nd most-seen of the 479 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 30%, and over a week to about 50%, if each day is a fresh chance.
June
In that month about 20% of wildlife watchers report a Scopula submutata in Sierra Nevada National Park on a given day, against under 5% in July and October–March, the lowest months.
Between 10 pm and 1 am
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Scopula submutata sightings with a recorded time, and about 7 in 10 of them come between 6 pm and 6 am: it is seen both by day and at night.
Yes
Of the 4 parks where we can rate Scopula submutata sightings, Sierra Nevada National Park has the highest daily chance: about 10%. Next come Doñana National Park (Spain, about 10%) and Cévennes National Park (France, about 10%).
Same genus: Scopula
The closest relatives of the Scopula submutata that you can see in Sierra Nevada National Park (genus Scopula) are Mullein Wave (about 20%), Middle Lace Border (about 10%) and Small Blood-Vein (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Scopula submutata is recorded against all the insects logged in Sierra Nevada National Park (7 verified sightings from 2019 to 2026), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
