Scopula marginepunctata
In 3 days ~40% in a week ~70%
Scopula marginepunctata, the mullein wave, is a moth of the family Geometridae. It was described by Johann August Ephraim Goeze in 1781. It is found throughout Europe. Scopula marginepunctata occurs in Europe from the Iberian Peninsula in the west to the Ural mountains in the east. In the north, the range extends to the south coast of England, the southern Netherlands and the German Baltic Sea coast. However the species is missing in parts of northern Germany. There are isolated occurrences on Bornholm, Skåne and the southern Baltic. In the south, the range extends in North Africa from Morocco in the west to Egypt. The distribution ranges from there further over the Middle East, Asia minor, the Caucasus, northern Iran, Central Asia and Mongolia.
The wingspan is 25–28 millimetres (0.98–1.10 in). The length of the forewings is 12–15 millimetres (0.47–0.59 in). The second generation is often smaller and the moths reach only about 18 mm wingspan. Colour and wing pattern vary. The base colour is off-white to light brown, and the wings are strong dark over dusted with dark scales. In the Swiss Canton of Ticino darkened forms occur, which were formerly... Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sierra Nevada National Park | 🇪🇸 Spain | |
| 2 | Cévennes National Park | 🇫🇷 France | |
| 3 | Sierra de Guadarrama National Park | 🇪🇸 Spain | |
| 4 | Pyrénées National Park | 🇫🇷 France |
Possible
About 20% of wildlife watchers report a Mullein Wave sighting in Sierra Nevada National Park on a given day, based on 23 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data from 2019 to 2026. It is the 92nd most-seen of the 479 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 40%, and over a week to about 70%, if each day is a fresh chance.
May
In that month about 30% of wildlife watchers report a Mullein Wave in Sierra Nevada National Park on a given day, against under 5% in September and December–March, the lowest months.
Between 10 pm and 1 am
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Mullein Wave sightings with a recorded time, and about 6 in 10 of them come between 6 pm and 6 am: it is seen both by day and at night.
Yes
Of the 4 parks where we can rate Mullein Wave sightings, Sierra Nevada National Park has the highest daily chance: about 20%. Next come Cévennes National Park (France, about 10%) and Sierra de Guadarrama National Park (Spain, about 10%).
Same genus: Scopula
The closest relatives of the Mullein Wave that you can see in Sierra Nevada National Park (genus Scopula) are Middle Lace Border (about 10%), Scopula submutata (about 10%) and Small Blood-Vein (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Mullein Wave is recorded against all the insects logged in Sierra Nevada National Park (23 verified sightings from 2019 to 2026), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
