Lithosia quadra
In 3 days ~30% in a week ~50%
Lithosia quadra, the four-spotted footman, is a moth of the family Erebidae. It is found in southern and central Europe then east across the Palearctic to the Amur River and Japan. It is also found in the south of Great Britain and Scandinavia.
The wingspan is 35–55 mm. The males are smaller than the females. There is strong sexual dimorphism in the imago, the males have gray wings with a yellow wing joint and a blue-black stripe at the front of the outer rim of the forewing. The females have yellow wings with two blue-black dots. It is the biggest species of the subfamily Lithosiinae. Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aigüestortes National Park | 🇪🇸 Spain | |
| 2 | Ordesa y Monte Perdido National Park | 🇪🇸 Spain | |
| 3 | Cévennes National Park | 🇫🇷 France | |
| 4 | Pyrénées National Park | 🇫🇷 France | |
| 5 | Triglav National Park | 🇸🇮 Slovenia | |
| 6 | Vanoise National Park | 🇫🇷 France | |
| 7 | Mercantour National Park | 🇫🇷 France | |
| 8 | Bavarian Forest National Park | 🇩🇪 Germany |
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Four-Spotted Footman sighting in Bavarian Forest National Park on a given day, based on 30 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data from 2019 to 2026. It is the 163rd most-seen of the 1115 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 30%, and over a week to about 50%, if each day is a fresh chance.
July
In that month about 20% of wildlife watchers report a Four-Spotted Footman in Bavarian Forest National Park on a given day, against under 5% in October to April, the lowest months.
Between 10 pm and 1 am
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Four-Spotted Footman sightings with a recorded time, and about 6 in 10 of them come between 6 am and 6 pm: it is seen both by day and at night.
8th of 8
Of the 8 parks where we can rate Four-Spotted Footman sightings, Bavarian Forest National Park ranks 8th at about 10%. The best odds are in Aigüestortes National Park (Spain, about 20%), Ordesa y Monte Perdido National Park (Spain, about 20%) and Cévennes National Park (France, about 20%).
Same family: Erebidae
The closest relatives of the Four-Spotted Footman that you can see in Bavarian Forest National Park (family Erebidae, Underwing, Tiger, Tussock, and Allied Moths) are Burnet Companion (about 20%), Jersey Tiger (about 20%) and Pale Tussock Moth (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Four-Spotted Footman is recorded against all the insects logged in Bavarian Forest National Park (30 verified sightings from 2019 to 2026), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
