Phragmatobia fuliginosa
In 3 days ~30% in a week ~60%
Phragmatobia fuliginosa, the ruby tiger, is a moth of the family Erebidae. It is present in most of Europe, in North Africa, Russia, Central Asia, Tibet, and in northern areas of North America. This species inhabits moist open forest and meadow areas, mixed hardwood forests at low elevations, open meadows or prairies and in agricultural areas at low elevations. It is common on low-growing plants, on high-roads... Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Biebrza National Park | 🇵🇱 Poland | |
| 2 | Białowieża National Park | 🇵🇱 Poland | |
| 3 | Wadden Sea National Park | 🇩🇪 Germany | |
| 4 | Cairngorms National Park | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 5 | Snowdonia National Park | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 6 | Picos de Europa National Park | 🇪🇸 Spain | |
| 7 | Bavarian Forest National Park | 🇩🇪 Germany | |
| 8 | Aigüestortes National Park | 🇪🇸 Spain | |
| 9 | Pyrénées National Park | 🇫🇷 France | |
| 10 | Cévennes National Park | 🇫🇷 France | |
| 11 | Sierra Nevada National Park | 🇪🇸 Spain | |
| 12 | Doñana National Park | 🇪🇸 Spain | |
| 13 | Fertő-Hanság National Park | 🇭🇺 Hungary | |
| 14 | Point Pelee National Park | 🇨🇦 Canada |
| # | City | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Porto | 🇵🇹 Portugal | |
| 2 | Liverpool | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 3 | Birmingham | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 4 | London | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 5 | Turin | 🇮🇹 Italy | |
| 6 | Manchester | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 7 | Rotterdam [The Hague] | 🇳🇱 Netherlands | |
| 8 | Leeds | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 9 | Amsterdam | 🇳🇱 Netherlands | |
| 10 | Cologne | 🇩🇪 Germany |
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Ruby Tiger Moth sighting in Cairngorms National Park on a given day, based on 25 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data from 2019 to 2026. It is the 61st most-seen of the 300 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 30%, and over a week to about 60%, if each day is a fresh chance.
October
In that month about 50% of wildlife watchers report a Ruby Tiger Moth in Cairngorms National Park on a given day, against under 5% in February, July–August and November–December, the lowest months.
Between 10 pm and 1 am
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Ruby Tiger Moth sightings with a recorded time, and about half of them come between 6 pm and 6 am: it is seen both by day and at night.
4th of 14
Of the 14 parks where we can rate Ruby Tiger Moth sightings, Cairngorms National Park ranks 4th at about 10%. The best odds are in Biebrza National Park (Poland, about 20%), Białowieża National Park (Poland, about 10%) and Wadden Sea National Park (Germany, about 10%).
Same family: Erebidae
The closest relatives of the Ruby Tiger Moth that you can see in Cairngorms National Park (family Erebidae, Underwing, Tiger, Tussock, and Allied Moths) are Rusty Tussock Moth (about 20%), Garden Tiger (about 10%) and Dark Tussock (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Ruby Tiger Moth is recorded against all the insects logged in Cairngorms National Park (25 verified sightings from 2019 to 2026), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
