What are the chances of seeing a Tree Lucerne Moth in Melbourne?
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Tree Lucerne Moth sighting in Melbourne on a given day, based on 260 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 62nd most-seen of the 875 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 30%, and over a week to about 50%, if each day is a fresh chance.
When is the best time to see a Tree Lucerne Moth in Melbourne?
April
In that month about 20% of wildlife watchers report a Tree Lucerne Moth in Melbourne on a given day, against under 5% in November, the lowest month.
What time of day is best to see a Tree Lucerne Moth?
Between 7 and 10 pm
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Tree Lucerne Moth sightings with a recorded time, and about 8 in 10 of them come between 6 pm and 6 am: it is mostly seen at night.
Is Melbourne the best place to see a Tree Lucerne Moth?
Yes
Of the 5 cities where we can rate Tree Lucerne Moth sightings, Melbourne has the highest daily chance: about 10%. Next come Hobart (Australia, about 10%) and Perth (Australia, about 10%).
Which relatives of the Tree Lucerne Moth live in Melbourne?
Same family: Crambidae
The closest relatives of the Tree Lucerne Moth that you can see in Melbourne (family Crambidae, Crambid Snout Moths) are Scoparia exhibitalis (about 10%), Nacoleia rhoeoalis (about 10%) and Cabbage Centre Grub (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
Where does the Tree Lucerne Moth sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Tree Lucerne Moth is recorded against all the insects logged in Melbourne (260 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.