Agrochola bicolorago
In 3 days ~10% in a week ~20%
Agrochola bicolorago, the bicolored sallow or shield-backed cutworm, is a moth in the family Noctuidae. The species was first described by Achille Guenée in 1852. It is found in the eastern half of the United States (except southern Florida) and Canada.
The wingspan is 28–38 mm. Adults are on wing from August to December in the south and from September to November in the north. Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Point Pelee National Park | 🇨🇦 Canada | |
| 2 | Shenandoah National Park | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 3 | Great Smoky Mountains National Park | 🇺🇸 United States |
| # | City | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Edmonton | 🇨🇦 Canada | |
| 2 | Baltimore | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 3 | Philadelphia | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 4 | Boston | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 5 | Chicago | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 6 | Washington | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 7 | Montreal | 🇨🇦 Canada | |
| 8 | Detroit | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 9 | New York City | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 10 | Minneapolis [Saint Paul] | 🇺🇸 United States |
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Bicolored Sallow sighting in Great Smoky Mountains National Park on a given day, based on 6 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data from 2019 to 2026. It is the 628th most-seen of the 822 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 20%, if each day is a fresh chance.
November
In that month about 20% of wildlife watchers report a Bicolored Sallow in Great Smoky Mountains National Park on a given day, against under 5% in December to September, the lowest months.
Between 8 and 11 am
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Bicolored Sallow sightings with a recorded time, and about 7 in 10 of them come between 6 am and 6 pm: it is seen both by day and at night.
3rd of 3
Of the 3 parks where we can rate Bicolored Sallow sightings, Great Smoky Mountains National Park ranks 3rd at under 5%. The best odds are in Point Pelee National Park (Canada, about 10%) and Shenandoah National Park (United States, under 5%).
Same family: Noctuidae
The closest relatives of the Bicolored Sallow that you can see in Great Smoky Mountains National Park (family Noctuidae, Cutworm Moths and Allies) are Beautiful Wood-Nymph (about 20%), Hebrew Moth (about 10%) and American Dagger (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Bicolored Sallow is recorded against all the insects logged in Great Smoky Mountains National Park (6 verified sightings from 2019 to 2026), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
