What are the chances of seeing a Falco atricapillus in Isle Royale National Park?
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Falco atricapillus sighting in Isle Royale National Park on a given day, based on 5 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data from 2019 to 2026. It is the 103rd most-seen of the 105 birds we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, if each day is a fresh chance.
Is Isle Royale National Park the best place to see a Falco atricapillus?
5th of 21
Of the 21 parks where we can rate Falco atricapillus sightings, Isle Royale National Park ranks 5th at under 5%. The best odds are in Wrangell-St. Elias National Park (United States, about 10%), Katmai National Park (United States, about 10%) and Denali National Park (United States, under 5%).
Which relatives of the Falco atricapillus live in Isle Royale National Park?
Same genus: Falco
The closest relatives of the Falco atricapillus that you can see in Isle Royale National Park (genus Falco, Typical Falcons) are Merlin (about 10%) and American Kestrel (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
Where does the Falco atricapillus sighting chance come from?
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Falco atricapillus is recorded against all the birds logged in Isle Royale National Park (5 verified sightings from 2019 to 2026), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.