Epirrhoe alternata
In 3 days ~20% in a week ~30%
The common carpet or white-banded toothed carpet (Epirrhoe alternata) is a moth of the family Geometridae. The species was first described by Otto Friedrich Müller in 1764. It is found throughout the Palearctic and the Near East. In North America it ranges across the northern tier of the United States plus every province and territory of Canada. Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Snowdonia National Park | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 2 | Bavarian Forest National Park | 🇩🇪 Germany | |
| 3 | Aigüestortes National Park | 🇪🇸 Spain | |
| 4 | Wadden Sea National Park | 🇩🇪 Germany | |
| 5 | Białowieża National Park | 🇵🇱 Poland | |
| 6 | Triglav National Park | 🇸🇮 Slovenia | |
| 7 | Cairngorms National Park | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 8 | Pyrénées National Park | 🇫🇷 France | |
| 9 | Fertő-Hanság National Park | 🇭🇺 Hungary | |
| 10 | Cévennes National Park | 🇫🇷 France | |
| 11 | Sierra de Guadarrama National Park | 🇪🇸 Spain |
| # | City | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Liverpool | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 2 | Helsinki | 🇫🇮 Finland | |
| 3 | Berlin | 🇩🇪 Germany | |
| 4 | Prague | 🇨🇿 Czechia | |
| 5 | Manchester | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 6 | London | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 7 | Porto | 🇵🇹 Portugal | |
| 8 | Birmingham | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | |
| 9 | Nizhny Novgorod | 🇷🇺 Russia | |
| 10 | Hamburg | 🇩🇪 Germany |
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Common Carpet Moth sighting in Cévennes National Park on a given day, based on 11 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data from 2019 to 2026. It is the 590th most-seen of the 996 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 20%, and over a week to about 30%, if each day is a fresh chance.
May, July and September
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Common Carpet Moth in Cévennes National Park on a given day, against under 5% in June, August and October–April, the lowest months.
Between 10 pm and 1 am
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Common Carpet Moth sightings with a recorded time, and about half of them come between 6 pm and 6 am: it is seen both by day and at night.
10th of 11
Of the 11 parks where we can rate Common Carpet Moth sightings, Cévennes National Park ranks 10th at about 10%. The best odds are in Snowdonia National Park (United Kingdom, about 20%), Bavarian Forest National Park (Germany, about 10%) and Aigüestortes National Park (Spain, about 10%).
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Common Carpet Moth is recorded against all the insects logged in Cévennes National Park (11 verified sightings from 2019 to 2026), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
