Junonia natalica
In 3 days ~90% in a week >90%
Junonia natalica, the Natal pansy or brown pansy, is a butterfly of the family Nymphalidae. It is found in the Afrotropical realm. The wingspan is 45–50 mm in males and 48–55 mm in females. The larvae feed on Asystasia gangetica and Phaulopsis imbricata. Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kafue National Park | 🇿🇲 Zambia | |
| 2 | Mana Pools National Park | 🇿🇼 Zimbabwe | |
| 3 | uMkhuze Game Reserve | 🇿🇦 South Africa | |
| 4 | Gorongosa National Park | 🇲🇿 Mozambique | |
| 5 | Nairobi National Park | 🇰🇪 Kenya | |
| 6 | Kruger National Park | 🇿🇦 South Africa | |
| 7 | iSimangaliso Wetland Park | 🇿🇦 South Africa | |
| 8 | Hluhluwe-Imfolozi Park | 🇿🇦 South Africa |
Likely
About 50% of wildlife watchers report a Spotted Brown Pansy sighting in Lusaka on a given day, based on 78 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 4th most-seen of the 72 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 90%, and over a week to over 90%, if each day is a fresh chance.
April and May
In those months about 80% of wildlife watchers report a Spotted Brown Pansy in Lusaka on a given day, against under 5% in December, the lowest month. Those are among Lusaka's driest months, with about 15 mm of rain a month against 210 mm in January.
Between 10 am and 1 pm
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Spotted Brown Pansy sightings with a recorded time, and nearly all of them come between 6 am and 6 pm: it is a daytime animal.
Yes
Of the 6 cities where we can rate Spotted Brown Pansy sightings, Lusaka has the highest daily chance: about 50%. Next come Lilongwe (Malawi, about 40%) and Dar es-Salaam (Tanzania, about 30%).
Same genus: Junonia
The closest relatives of the Spotted Brown Pansy that you can see in Lusaka (genus Junonia, Buckeyes & Pansies) are Yellow Pansy (about 40%), Dark Blue Pansy (about 30%) and Soldier Commodore (about 20%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Spotted Brown Pansy is recorded against all the insects logged in Lusaka (78 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
