Prochoerodes lineola
In 3 days ~10% in a week ~20%
Prochoerodes lineola, the large maple spanworm, is a moth of the family Geometridae. It is found from Nova Scotia to Florida, west to Texas and north to Alberta. The wingspan is 35–50 mm. They are on wing from April to October in the south and from July to September in the north.
The larvae feed on the leaves of a wide range of plants, including apple, birch, blueberry, cherry, currant, geranium, grass, maple, oak, poplar, soybean, sweetfern, walnut and willow. Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Great Smoky Mountains National Park | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 2 | Shenandoah National Park | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 3 | Elk Island National Park | 🇨🇦 Canada | |
| 4 | Point Pelee National Park | 🇨🇦 Canada | |
| 5 | Acadia National Park | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 6 | Gros Morne National Park | 🇨🇦 Canada |
| # | City | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Baltimore | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 2 | Detroit | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 3 | Austin | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 4 | Washington | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 5 | Philadelphia | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 6 | Edmonton | 🇨🇦 Canada | |
| 7 | Minneapolis [Saint Paul] | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 8 | Boston | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 9 | Chicago | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 10 | Montreal | 🇨🇦 Canada |
Rare
Under 5% of wildlife watchers report a Large Maple Spanworm Moth sighting in Minneapolis [Saint Paul] on a given day, based on 24 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 253rd most-seen of the 672 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 10%, and over a week to about 20%, if each day is a fresh chance.
August and September
In those months about 10% of wildlife watchers report a Large Maple Spanworm Moth in Minneapolis [Saint Paul] on a given day, against under 5% in October to July, the lowest months. Those are among Minneapolis [Saint Paul]'s wettest months, with about 100 mm of rain a month against 20 mm in January.
Between 10 pm and 1 am
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Large Maple Spanworm Moth sightings with a recorded time, and about 6 in 10 of them come between 6 pm and 6 am: it is seen both by day and at night.
7th of 15
Of the 15 cities where we can rate Large Maple Spanworm Moth sightings, Minneapolis [Saint Paul] ranks 7th at under 5%. The best odds are in Baltimore (United States, about 10%), Detroit (United States, about 10%) and Austin (United States, under 5%).
Same family: Geometridae
The closest relatives of the Large Maple Spanworm Moth that you can see in Minneapolis [Saint Paul] (family Geometridae, Geometer Moths) are Chickweed Geometer Moth (about 10%), Lesser Maple Spanworm Moth (about 10%) and Fall Cankerworm Moth (about 10%), with each one's daily chance of a sighting.
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Large Maple Spanworm Moth is recorded against all the insects logged in Minneapolis [Saint Paul] (24 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
