Palpita quadristigmalis
In 3 days ~20% in a week ~40%
Palpita quadristigmalis, the four-spotted palpita moth, is a moth in the family Crambidae. It is found in North America, where it has been recorded from Quebec and Ontario to Florida, west to Arizona and north to Colorado.
The length of the forewings is 13.5-14.5 mm. The larvae feed on Ligustrum species. The larvae have also been found feeding on Olea europaea (olive) in Texas. They are recognized as a potential pest, as they are able to defoliate entire orchards and will also feed on the olive fruit. Wikipedia →
| # | Park | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Big Bend National Park | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 2 | Cumbres de Monterrey National Park | 🇲🇽 Mexico |
| # | City | Country | Daily sighting probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Puebla | 🇲🇽 México | |
| 2 | Austin | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 3 | Toluca | 🇲🇽 México | |
| 4 | San Luis Potosí | 🇲🇽 México | |
| 5 | Mexico City | 🇲🇽 México | |
| 6 | Monterrey | 🇲🇽 México | |
| 7 | Torreón | 🇲🇽 México | |
| 8 | Dallas | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 9 | Houston | 🇺🇸 United States | |
| 10 | San Antonio | 🇺🇸 United States |
With luck
About 10% of wildlife watchers report a Four-Spotted Palpita Moth sighting in Toluca on a given day, based on 5 verified sightings from GBIF citizen-science data. It is the 62nd most-seen of the 70 insects we can rate there. Over three days the chance rises to about 20%, and over a week to about 40%, if each day is a fresh chance.
October
In that month about 30% of wildlife watchers report a Four-Spotted Palpita Moth in Toluca on a given day, against under 5% in September and November–July, the lowest months.
Between 9 am and noon
Across all the parks we cover, that three-hour window holds the most Four-Spotted Palpita Moth sightings with a recorded time, and about 6 in 10 of them come between 6 am and 6 pm: it is seen both by day and at night.
3rd of 14
Of the 14 cities where we can rate Four-Spotted Palpita Moth sightings, Toluca ranks 3rd at about 10%. The best odds are in Puebla (México, about 20%) and Austin (United States, about 10%).
GBIF citizen-science records
It is estimated from how often the Four-Spotted Palpita Moth is recorded against all the insects logged in Toluca (5 verified sightings), calibrated against known sighting rates. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10% because citizen-science data supports honest approximations, not decimals, and months with records from fewer than five people show "—". How it works.
